Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie
It doesn't make sense to me either. We have Duffy for THIS YEAR AND TWO MORE YEARS. I find it odd that people cite this season as the reason they want to get rid of Duffy. His results this year are a drop in the bucket compared to the 150 IP he pitched last year at a 2.5 ERA. He hasn't even been left in the rotation and allowed to get into any grove yet either. His ERA is only 4.6 this year as it is.
When I look at baseball, I look at probabilities. Even if you get Cueto, your odds of winning the World Series really don't go up enough. It's the law of diminishing returns. If you have a 15% chance to win the WS without Cueto, and you trade Duffy and all these prospects for him, your WS chance might go up to say 20%. That's not enough value to gain a negligible chance of winning it all. Never put your eggs in once basket. If the right trade comes about, go for it, but I would keep in mind this year AND the next two years when doing it.
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I don't think anyone WANTS to trade Duffy. People have just discussed the possibility.
I guarantee you that if he IS moved, it's because the team doesn't believe he can consistently produce the way he did last season.
His results THIS season matter because they're similar to the results he produced as a big-leaguer prior to 2014. Because it's another dip in the roller coaster track... and because they're a sign that, perhaps, Duffy is going to do this for the rest of his career.