Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth
We are not 100% guaranteed to win when he starts and we are not 100% guaranteed to lose when his replacement starts. Also, you don't improve our game 2 and 3 situation at all.
Now, if we had a stable of pretty good pitchers but nobody is great, lets say 3 or 4 guys who can give you a decent or pretty good start, then swapping one for an Ace makes a whole lot more sense.
We don't have that. We have maybe 2 acceptable pitchers right now. If you make this trade, then if Cueto doesn't win every single damned time he starts, we're toast because game 3 probably looks bad unless we're matched against another team with SP problems. We need Duffy or someone like him for game 3 to give us a chance every time out.
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What are you talking about?
Would Danny Duffy even make our postseason rotation?
A rotation of :
Cueto / Volquez / Ventura / WHOEVER
is a hell of a lot better than
Volquez / Ventura / WHOEVER / WHOEVER
...and you're totally discounting the fact that Cueto, with our defense, is the best pitcher the Royals have seen since Greinke won his Cy Young, and before that, since the Royals of the 80's.
Cueto, with our defense and ballpark, is legitimately a guy who could carry our team if our sporadic offense wasn't clicking for 3 games in a 7 game series (a la Bumgarner).
Not only that, but the dude is a 1/2 season rental and would be a lock to go 7-8 innings, if not 9, every start. He's done it the last 5 years in Cincy playing in a HR derby park.
...if the price is Danny Duffy and Brandon Finnegan (and it's not, it's going to take a WHOLE LOT MORE), this isn't even a question. It's the biggest no brainer trade I've ever seen.