Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
There's plenty of room to walk the middle ground with analytics and "baseball logic."
A balanced approach is the best way to go, IMO. Rely only on analytics, and you're Paul DePodesta/Keith Law. Rely only on "baseball logic and scouting" and you're the Arizona Diamondbacks.
You can't rely entirely on analytics, because you miss things like Moustakas remaking his entire approach over the offseason and becoming a completely different hitter. (For the record, hamas mentioned that in his breakdown of the changes).
But you can't rely entirely on the 'scout's eye' either, because sometimes a players raw skills and abilities don't translate to reality.
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If you're referring to predicting the future, you're right. If however you're talking about actual events, then you're not because high level analytics are extremely accurate in assessing performance.
If I say Omar has been a POS this year, analytics will prove that without a shadow of a doubt regardless what "eye tests" say. Predicting how he will do based on them? Yes.....much trickier