Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
I'd say 10-15 percent chance. If KC can make him a competitive offer, the opportunity to stay and have the prestige around town of being a career star here, it may be enough to sway him.
If some team comes in and offers $30 million/year, I think it's over. But if it's in the mid-twenties, KC may be able to make it work (especially if the primary competition includes paying LA taxes, which narrows the price tag gap a bit).
They are not going to trade him before all-star break 2017, at the earliest. And only then if they are far away from he playoff race.
One in hand is better than two in the bush, and they're not going to blow a huge hole in the talent level of the team and its emotional leadership for prospects. Same holds for Moustakas, too.
The odds of piecing together a decent rotation from Ventura/Duffy/Kennedy/Mill/Vargas/Young/Almonte/Zimmer/Minor/Strahm plus one mid-tier FA are probably better ones than trading Hosmer for pitching prospects and hoping for the best.
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Cardinals have Wainwright at 19, Holliday at 17, Yadi at 14. That is a pretty good indicator what the Royals can go to. They also were in the hunt for Heyward and Price at higher numbers.