ChiefsPlanet - View Single Post - Correlations Between Punting and Defense and Punting and Winning

kccrow · 04-21-2018, 04:44 PM

Number of teams in the top 10 in % of Punts IN 20 that were also in top 15 in PTS/G

2017: 8
2016: 6
2015: 5
2014: 6
2013: 5

What this tells me is that if you have a punter that is in the top 30% of the league in % IN 20, then you've got about a 60% chance of being in the top half the league in PTS/G. But, if you have one of the 70% of the rest of the punters, you still have a 40% shot... However, 2017 skews the data and if we were to regress that value more towards the mean (6), we'd end up closer to a 55%/45% split.

More to follow...

04-21-2018, 04:44 PM	#3
kccrow MVP Join Date: Oct 2011 Location: Michigan Casino cash: $-1240000	Number of teams in the top 10 in % of Punts IN 20 that were also in top 15 in PTS/G 2017: 8 2016: 6 2015: 5 2014: 6 2013: 5 What this tells me is that if you have a punter that is in the top 30% of the league in % IN 20, then you've got about a 60% chance of being in the top half the league in PTS/G. But, if you have one of the 70% of the rest of the punters, you still have a 40% shot... However, 2017 skews the data and if we were to regress that value more towards the mean (6), we'd end up closer to a 55%/45% split. More to follow... Last edited by kccrow; 04-21-2018 at 04:53 PM..
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