Quote:
Originally Posted by Fat Elvis
Considering that across the NFL, teams have an average of 11.5 possessions per game, you're telling me that it is unrealistic to think that Mahomes will average 5 passing yards more per possession than Alex Smith?
I was (am) a big fan of Alex Smith, but the big difference between Mahomes and Smith is that Mahomes throws the ball *downfield*; he isn't looking for the dump-off, he is looking for the first down and more each and every time.
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That sounds like a small number, but if you factor in the likely increase in turnovers, those 5 yards per possession become much larger and difficult to attain.
Everybody says he's Brett Favre. Well, for a good chunk of Favre's career, he had many seasons where he didn't crack 4000. And factor in the consecutive games started- the guy never got hurt.
The 90s were a different era of football, which is why it's not at all a stretch to confidently predict 4000 for Mahomes in his first year. But that's as far as I'll go. Gunslinger does not always mean 5000 yards