[KChiefs1]

Originally Posted by kccrow

Umm... I shouldn't even respond to this but I will...



4400 yards would have put him 4th in the NFL in 2017.

29 TD's would have tied him for 4th in the NFL in 2017.

I feel like I"m going full homer just by thinking he will get anywhere near those numbers, when history says it's highly unlikely.



19 INTs are only 4 more than Peyton Manning threw in his 2nd season and 9 less than he threw his rookie year. Dan Marino, even in his epic 2nd season, threw 17 picks. Drew Brees, who played in only 1 game as a rookie as well, threw 16 picks. The list goes on.



Point is, even some of the better QBs of the past 20 years have had to learn the hard way. This kid is a risk taker and he's likely going to throw quite a few picks his first year out the gate.



If I were looking more at history and less at how I feel about this kid's abilities, I'd probably have him around 3500 yards, 20 tds and 17 ints as a best-case scenario. I chose instead to go full homer.



If you're expecting some crazy shit like 4700 yards, 35 tds and 10 ints in year 1, I think you ought to temper your expectations.