Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I stand corrected; Columbia takes down Vancouver and Benton takes down the mighty Carson City Aces...
What I can't figure out is how I can just keep challenging (and being challenged by) teams in the top 10, usually top 5, and despite being a combined seventy games over .500, my squads can't create any space over some team like Houston that's played the same number of games as Benton and has won 19 fewer of them. Dafuq? Columbia is 20 games over .500 and I just now picked a few rummies to beat, otherwise they get the same quality of opponent as Benton.
And I'm BEHIND teams that are below .500?
I don't think Benton's ELO rating changed at all after than win over Carson City. Hell, I almost think yours went up.
It's really confusing.
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Elo is a complex formula. Recent games matter more than those in the past, so looking at games over .500 can be misleading. If I remember correctly, a few days ago Columbia was near the top of the chart, but I see they have dropped. Your last 10 games are 5-5, so if you were losing to teams ranked lower (that you were expected to win according to Elo) it's going to drop your Elo pretty quickly.
Here are more details than you'll want to know:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodol...dictions-work/