[Megatron96]

Most kickers, as in 90% of them, have pretty short careers. I think I read somewhere they average about 2.7 years. So longevity is definitely a consideration.

Obviously, accuracy, consistency, stats in general are important.

And when you consider that Butker will probably be kicking in PT/playoff games for the remainder of his career so long as he's a Chief and Mahomes is the QB, however long that will be. Say it's 8 more years. Multiply out his current stats for the last 6 years (go ahead and include this year even though it's not complete, even pretend he doesn't make a kick in the playoffs for 2022, I don't care), by say 2.3 or whatever. That should be around 14 years. Check those numbers against those PKs already in the HOF. Then project his numbers in the playoffs (so far Butker's more consistent/clutch in the playoffs).

Just statistically, Butker could make it. Probably should make it.

But optics for PKs is just as important, and he's going to have a lot of opportunities as the Chiefs PK to show off on national TV. if he is only as consistent as he has been so far in those 'clutch' moments for the rest of his career, he'll have a strong argument for getting in.

And note that he doesn't have to play any better than he has over the last 6 years. he doesn't have to improve significantly in any part of his game. Just keep posting 89% accuracy for the next 8+ years and in the playoffs, and he'll be in the conversation.