Quote:
Originally Posted by Easy 6
According to whoever decides the percentages on this bing NFL thing, Baltimore has a 57.8% chance of winning
https://www.bing.com/search?pglt=171...ANNTA1&PC=U531
I suspect its much closer than that, the Ravens D is awful so far and the Chargers are home with a better QB |
No need for Bing, Mr. 6. The point spread is 3.0 which correlates to a 59.4% winning percentage on the favorite (Ravens).
And you can do this with any point spread with the handy dandy table at this website:
https://www.boydsbets.com/nfl-spread...ne-conversion/
The rule of thumb is that if you think the spread-implied win probability is off, you should bet it. But in my experience, when I differ a lot against the market, there was some factor I wasn't considering, not the other way around.