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Originally Posted by acasas4
I know it's popular opinion that the Chiefs should take an O lineman with their first round draft choice but I looked up all the winning superbowl quarterbacks at http://www.drafthistory.com/articles/article42.html and found that of the 41 winning teams 28 of them started a quarterback that they drafted. That's 68%. This site only goes through 2004 but the winners since then have been Brady, Roethlisberger and Manning. All were drafted by the teams they played for in the superbowl.
I know that some quarterbacks picked in the first round have been busts (and given Carl's draft history I am confident he could screw this up) but should the Chiefs take a QB with their first pick and build the offense around him? Croyle seems injury prone which was his knock coming out of college and it's mho that lineman can be had after the first pick and in free agency.
Food for thought.
Opinions? |
It depends. Is there a QB in this draft that's going to take his team to the Superbowl someday? If so, draft him.
The problem with looking at statistics like this is that they don't really give you much predictive power. It makes sense that the really high quality QBs would tend to stick with the teams that drafted them and that they'd also be disproportionately represented in the Superbowl. But the trick is to figure out which QBs are those guys and draft them, not to draft as many QBs as you can just hoping one will hit. If that were the key, the Chiefs could use all their picks on QBs until they finally found the guy.
I'd imagine that a similar analysis of Left Tackles would find that most superbowl winning LTs were drafted by their teams too.