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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud
I respectfully disagree.
The nosebleeds are not an indicator of time spent on the island. The nosebleeds indicate that those particular people have serious problems with the after-effects of time-travel.
Apparently, it affects some people (driving them insane and finally to death) but it doesn't affect others. Hence Daniel's experiments. He doesn't know why it affects some but not others.
The only things confirmed last night are that Jin was inside the "bubble" when the time-shift occurred, so he's not dead, though he is trapped far in the past. We can also safely Danielle Rousseau has been on the island for far, far longer than 17 years.
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Pardon me, but I respectfully have to disagree.
While I do agree that the nosebleeds are not necessarily an indication of "time spent on the island", I disagree with the rest of your theory. The nosebleeds are an indication of contact with the island. Everyone's noses will start bleeding eventually. (Except perhaps Faraday's because of the whole constant thing.) Charlotte gets a nosebleed first because she was the first (of our time traveling group) to have contact with the island. Miles was the second, that is why he gets a nosebleed next. Then Juliette and so on. I think they are directly connected. Faraday theorizes the same.
Jin was in the "bubble" but I don't believe he's "trapped" anywhere. I believe he's skipping through time just like the rest of our losties. When the next flash happens he'll shift in time with the others.
Finally, there is absolutely no reason I can see to suggest that Rousseau has been on the island longer than 16 years. I can't imagine what makes you state differently.