ChiefsPlanet - View Single Post - KU KU 15.7% KSU 4.4% Baylor 10.4% TA&M 2.2% MU 1% Texas 0% OSU 0%

teedubya · 03-15-2010, 03:03 PM

Chance of winning the national title, according to 50,000 mock run-throughs of the 2010 NCAA tourney

http://predictionmachine.com/P...racketodds.aspx

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats from the last 30 games (weighted slightly more towards recent games), to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.
See the most-likely Predictalated Bracket and Paul Bessire's Bracket Analysis.

Code:

Region Seed Team 2nd Rnd Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ.
Midwest	1	KU	100.0%	77.4%	57.7%	36.7%	24.4%	15.7%
Midwest	7	Ok St.	40.5%	16.2%	3.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
West	2	KSU	100.0%	65.6%	42.9%	23.4%	10.4%	4.4%
East	10	MU	55.4%	28.1%	14.4%	6.3%	2.6%	1.0%
South	3	Baylor	78.1%	70.1%	61.0%	36.1%	20.1%	10.4%
South	5	TA&M	71.7%	59.3%	37.1%	15.4%	6.0%	2.2%
East	8	Texas	47.6%	10.3%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

03-15-2010, 03:03 PM
teedubya Most Valuable Poster Join Date: Oct 2003 Casino cash: $9470002	KU 15.7% KSU 4.4% Baylor 10.4% TA&M 2.2% MU 1% Texas 0% OSU 0% Chance of winning the national title, according to 50,000 mock run-throughs of the 2010 NCAA tourney http://predictionmachine.com/P...racketodds.aspx The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats from the last 30 games (weighted slightly more towards recent games), to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round. See the most-likely Predictalated Bracket and Paul Bessire's Bracket Analysis. Code: Region Seed Team 2nd Rnd Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Title Game Champ. Midwest 1 KU 100.0% 77.4% 57.7% 36.7% 24.4% 15.7% Midwest 7 Ok St. 40.5% 16.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% West 2 KSU 100.0% 65.6% 42.9% 23.4% 10.4% 4.4% East 10 MU 55.4% 28.1% 14.4% 6.3% 2.6% 1.0% South 3 Baylor 78.1% 70.1% 61.0% 36.1% 20.1% 10.4% South 5 TA&M 71.7% 59.3% 37.1% 15.4% 6.0% 2.2% East 8 Texas 47.6% 10.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
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