Quote:
Originally Posted by Silock
We will see if it can sustain that growth, though. And just because its marketshare is growing faster doesn't mean that it will necessarily completely take over. I wonder if it will hit some kind of market saturation barrier.
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I don't see any reason it would hit a market saturation barrier any more than Windows vs Mac... yes there will probably be a 10-15% market share that sticks with iOS either because they are Apple fanboys or because they are easily confused by better hardware and OS at a cheaper cost...
Here is my view of the future in this space...
iPods will fade away (except maybe the tiny workout models) as everyone moves to smartphones.
For smartphones, Android will get up to around 50% market share with RIM at 15%(or RIM's highly customized version of Android.. something they may move to) and Windows at 15% with iOS at 15%.. 5% for a MISC category.. (like WebOS)
For tablets it will basically be the same as above except swap WebOS and RIM. The only way I see this being WAY off is if Windows finally gets its shit together... so again, not likely.
These are numbers I just pulled out of my ass, so I reserve the right to adjust these down the road... but you get the general idea of where I see the market heading.