Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
This is the 3rd time you've said it and the 3rd time you've been full of shit.
I said hitters like Albert Pujols will show decline in their BA well before they show decline in their power. History tells us that its their average that you follow when trying to spot the start of their decline.
{looks at Alberts BA...}
Yeah, I think I'm gonna go ahead and stand behind that. I've been dead-ass accurate with everything I've said about Pujols this season. He had a nice game yesterday; and he had a shit one today. He'll have more nice games this season and he'll have plenty of shit ones as well.
All told, his 400 plate appearances this season are more demonstrative than the 4 he had yesterday.
But keep making up strawmen if they'll give you a chance to prattle on about how you'd do anything just to see Albert swing for a few more years. The rest of us actually give a damn about winning ballgames.
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His BABIP is down 50 points from last year and his ISO is the same as it was in 2007. His LD% is slightly below his career average, but higher than it was two years ago, for example. His biggest problem, that is hurting his BABIP and his average, is that his groundball percentage is up. He's not having a problem catching up to pitches, his K-rate is near a career low.
He's been a touch unlucky and a touch undisciplined, but you are also using a 375 AB sample to justify a decline of a player with 7000+ career PAs
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"When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read 'all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and Catholics.' When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretense of loving liberty – to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocrisy.”--Abraham Lincoln
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