Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
His BABIP is down 50 points from last year and his ISO is the same as it was in 2007. His LD% is slightly below his career average, but higher than it was two years ago, for example. His biggest problem, that is hurting his BABIP and his average, is that his groundball percentage is up. He's not having a problem catching up to pitches, his K-rate is near a career low.
He's been a touch unlucky and a touch undisciplined, but you are also using a 375 AB sample to justify a decline of a player with 7000+ career PAs
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No, I'm using his birthday to suggest it may happen and those 375 PAs to support the possibility.
If he were 27, I'd never even consider it. But the man is 31; time makes fools of us all. He's being fooled more than he ever has. He's hitting more 'weak contact' balls than he's ever hit. There are just more games like todays than we've seen in a long time - essentially lost days in a very close game.
I'm simply saying that it has to be looked at as a legitimate possibility.