Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth
Its not like a court ruled in favor of NU and CU. The Big 12 decided it was in their best interests to let them go with a small penalty. However, since then the Big 12 has significantly altered their rules on leaving the conference, and the commissioner appears to be signalling that the Big 12 is in no mood at all to let MU off cheap. It could cost them 25 million to leave in 2012, which is why he's suggesting Mizzou will opt for the longer notice and the lower penalty.
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1. The league established a precedent. The contract does not establish a set amount of penalty. Its based on "damages". If the damages have been set at $6 million in a 12 team league, it's not going to be higher now that the league is down to 9 teams.
2. The league hasn't changed anything regarding Missouri. They can't unilaterally change the contract.
3. The contract may have been undervalued with Nebraska, Colorado, and aTm. I doubt it gets revised upward with whatever teams replace them plus the existence of LHN.
My guess is that the conference decides that they need to move forward and can't afford to play a prolonged game of chicken with MU, especially if they are battling the Big East for teams. I think, if MU leaves, they settle for 3-6 million. If those numbers are off, they are more likely to be an over-estimate than under.