Chiefs are toast. Chargers are toast.
I hate to say it, but there's a chance the Broncos could surprise us. When you look at their remaining games (@ SDC / @ MIN / CHI / NEP / @ BUF / KCC), all of those except maybe the Patriots are winnable within reason. I don't THINK they will win @SD, CHI, or @BUF, but their defense is playing really solid right now, and Tebow's confidence is building if nothing else.
So, I'd personally say that it's 50% OAK, 30% DEN, 15% SD, and 5% KC.
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