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Old 07-20-2012, 03:28 PM   #78
alnorth alnorth is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
This, well-known Vegas oddsmaker claims to have one of the most accurate records of predicting political races and he says Obama is going to lose in a landslide too.


http://townhall.com/columnists/wayne...ide/page/full/

He lays it all out as to why by demographic groups too.
His problem is that the people were a lot less partisan and polarized in 1980 than today. Back then, elections were a lot more fluid and unpredictable because you had a lot more people who were either truly independent, or token members of a party they are not loyal to.

Today with the internet, talk radio, etc the average person is a hell of a lot more informed (or at least thinks they are informed), and have picked a side.

Gettable voters are a tiny fraction.
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<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
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