Thread: Elections 538
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Old 08-07-2012, 09:08 PM   #5
patteeu patteeu is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Was Nate Silver a righty when he predicted the Republicans would pick up 7 seats in the 2010 Senate races? (They actually picked up 6 seats).

Was Nate Silver a righty when the Republican's pick up of 63 seats in the 2010 House race was within the margin of error of his prediction?

Was Nate Silver a righty when he correctly picked 36 of the 37 gubernatorial races, missing only on the Illinois race where he picked the Republican when the Democrat actually won (by 0.5%).

Maybe Nate Silver is just very good at this because he uses the most statistically valid prediction methods.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight
Maybe so. How far out did he make those predictions?
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