Originally Posted by cdcox
Was Nate Silver a righty when he predicted the Republicans would pick up 7 seats in the 2010 Senate races? (They actually picked up 6 seats).
Was Nate Silver a righty when the Republican's pick up of 63 seats in the 2010 House race was within the margin of error of his prediction?
Was Nate Silver a righty when he correctly picked 36 of the 37 gubernatorial races, missing only on the Illinois race where he picked the Republican when the Democrat actually won (by 0.5%).
Maybe Nate Silver is just very good at this because he uses the most statistically valid prediction methods.
Maybe so. How far out did he make those predictions?
"Well, it is one thing for Bill Clinton to say, I feel your pain. It is another thing for Barack Obama to say I feel your pain that I have caused." - George Will