Nice "heads I win, tails you lose" in the OP.
If Apple updates their 10 year old connector, people say they just want to make you buy a new one (which is silly because you'd get one with any new device that requires it). If they stick with the old one, people say they won't abandon their proprietary technology.
The Apple connector is much more fully featured than other connectors are. It has stereo audio output, as well as dual channel line in and out. It has video out for three different standards. It communicates in USB and FireWire.
The size of the connector is antiquated today and they can eliminate 6-8 just by removing FireWire and s- video.
My guess is that they will use a shuffle-like connector in the future where the headphone jack doubles as the connector, but may e data transfer rates still need to be faster and video is still valuable through the current connector.
But, if you're a kneejerker who knows nothing about the subject, it's good message board fodder.