Originally Posted by whoman69
One of the good things about his method is that he uses polls past record to indicate if it has any bias R/D. He has also predicted more than elections. His first big job was in creating a statistical model for a baseball publication.
He actually got the idea from the way computer data mining was being done. He thought if he could apply those algorithm's to his passion (basball) it would help his baseball fantasy team. Then he quickly realized he could predict outcomes just about the same time as sabermetrics was hitting it big in the MLB front offices.
They may be millions of lines of code when you look at the code but they are just basic and/or/if statements. The trick is to keep all these simple statements simple as the code gets more complex. In the real world time is a factor, so its much harder to do than what Nate silver is doing.