Thread: Elections 538
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Old 09-01-2012, 07:51 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
Here is the latest projections in the race for President from famed 538 prognosticator Nate Silver. Electoral vote Obama 301.5-Romney 236.5. Chances of winning Obama 72-28%. Popular vote Obama 50.8-48.1.

Electoral College tie (269 electoral votes for each candidate) 0.3%
Recount (one or more decisive states within 0.5 percentage points) 5.9%
Obama wins popular vote 68.5%
Romney wins popular vote 31.5%
Obama wins popular vote but loses electoral college 1.1%
Romney wins popular vote but loses electoral college 4.6%
Obama landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 8.9%
Romney landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 1.4%
Map exactly the same as in 2008 0.4%
Map exactly the same as in 2004 <0.1%
Obama loses at least one state he carried in 2008 93.8%
Obama wins at least one state he failed to carry in 2008 22.1%

Florida and Virginia are tossups.
Cool. Now you can stay home and not vote.
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