Thread: Elections 538
View Single Post
Old 09-20-2012, 02:53 PM   #180
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5000
Quote:
Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
538 now reporting that GOP control of the Senate is becoming increasingly improbable.

"Democrats are now favored to retain control of the Senate when the new Congress convenes in January, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast, breaking a summer stalemate during which control of the chamber appeared about equally likely to go either way.

An unusually large number of Senate races remain competitive, meaning that a wide range of outcomes are still possible. Republicans have about a 10 percent chance of winning a net of at least six seats from Democrats, according to the forecast, which would give them control of at least 53 seats next year. However, there is also about a 20 percent chance that Democrats could actually gain Senate seats on balance, giving them at least 54. The only thing that seems completely assured is that neither party will control enough seats next year to hold a filibuster-proof majority."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...ng/#more-34615
538 stated today they give Democrats a 79% chance of holding the Senate. Tim Kaine is pulling away from George Allen in VA. Tommy Thompson has fallen to a tie with Tammy Baldwin in WI. One outlier poll even had her with a 9 point margin. In Maine Independent Angus King has a 85% chance of winning. Its been suggested that King will caucus with Democrats. Democrats also got good news in MA, CT and FL. Two things are seen to be hurting Republicans. No coattails for Romney. 2nd is that the conservative Republican platform is taking them down.
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak
Quote:
Originally posted by Logical
When the boobs are a bouncin, the Chiefs will be trouncin
What the Raiders fan has said is true, our customs are different. What Al Davis has said is unimportant, and we do not hear his words.
Posts: 23,081
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
  Reply With Quote