Originally Posted by Donger
You think there's the same amount of enthusiasm for Obama in 2012 as there was in 2008?
I realize that "enthusiasm" is something they measure, but what if someone was "very enthusiastic" about voting for Obama in 2008 but in 2012 they are only "enthusiastic." Less enthusiasm, but they still appear to be a likely voter, and it still counts as 1 vote. 2008 didn't count "more."
At some point, you have to simply acknowledge that the professional polling agencies might know more about producing an accurate poll than you do.