Geno Smith Will Be The 1st QB Taken
So far, I've broken down 7 games of Barkley in a row, including Syracuse, Hawaii and Stanford from this year. I can tell you right now that Smith and maybe Wilson (with a strong rest of the season) will be taken ahead of him if Barkley continues at his current rate.
Barkley's tape from last year looks much better last year as opposed to this year. USC is running a lot more WR screens which doesn't help him, but he looks significantly worse so far. He tends to lock on to receivers more this year than last, go to his checkdowns more, throws off his back foot more (product in part from not getting a quality drop and having to rush throws), and his accuracy down the field isn't as good as last year. His accuracy issues are in part to him mainly not driving off his back foot (which causes his passes downfield to sail a bit and his closer passes to be behind) and are also do to him not finishing his follow-through on his release (mainly due to pressure or his thought that it exists). His O-Line is not as good as last year and he is not adjusting as well as he should be. It isn't horrible (Bears) but it is having an outcome in his accuracy and quickness to check the ball down.
I'll have a complete breakdown by next week of every game from 2011 and through 2012, probably via Word Doc. if people are interested. I was mainly doing it for Billay since he asked but I figured you all would enjoy getting to analyze my own analysis and provide your thoughts. Plus, most of you are actually competent and will be able to provide feedback (positive/negative) that will help formulate a better opinion of Barkley for this upcoming draft.