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Old 09-29-2012, 09:52 AM   #889
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
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Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Romney 47% video has been viewed 3X more often than his convention speech according to business insider.
From Nate Silver's site. Cause and effect?

Sept. 27: The Impact of the ‘47 Percent’ After a secretly recorded videotape was released on Sept. 17 showing Mitt Romney making unflattering comments about the “47 percent” of Americans who he said had become dependent on government benefits, I suggested on Twitter that the political impact of the comments could easily be overstated.

“Ninety percent of ‘game-changing’ gaffes are less important in retrospect than they seem in the moment,” I wrote.

But was this one of the exceptional cases? A week and a half has passed since Mr. Romney’s remarks became known to the public — meaning that there’s been enough time to evaluate their effect on the polls.There’s a case to be made that they did damage Mr. Romney’s standing some.
In the chart below, I’ve tracked the progress of the national popular vote in the FiveThirtyEight “now-cast” over the past five weeks.


The “now-cast” reflects our best estimate of what would happen in an election held today, based on a combination of recent national and state polls. Unlike our Nov. 6 forecast, the “now-cast” does not account for economic measures, and it does not adjust for the effect of the party conventions. This makes it a little bit more straightforward to interpret in terms of tracking the progress of the polls in real time.
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There is a place inside man where his life can be terminated on voice command. Its the fail safe device meant to be used at the end of times.
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