Originally Posted by KC native
No, the guy who does shadow stats does good work. I think his numbers are slightly overstated and I think the govenment's are a little understated. The real number is between the two.
Keep being a dumb ass though.
SGS does do good work, surprised you would say that though, since they show consistently that the "real" unemployment rate has NOT turned the corner and in fact is still increasing. My take is that the "accurate" analysis lies between the U6 and SGS numbers. Which would be a pretty much stagnant rate.
Regarding the recent numbers.. it's a blow to Romney for ONE reason... timing... these numbers WILL get adjusted.. or the November numbers will reflect the difference in reality. The problem is that with all the early voting and people simply making up their minds... I doubt the true numbers will get reported in time to make a difference.
I'd say that Romney had a legit shot at taking a solid lead and extending it with 2 more strong debates... this is going to seriously bite into that.