Originally Posted by patteeu
It seems to me that maybe you're quicker to take a position than I am in some cases. For example, Afghanistan. I'm not sure exactly what your positions have been, but I've never been confident that we could establish a central government there (as opposed to Iraq where I had great confidence), but I've never been absolutely convinced that we couldn't either. I can't say that I've changed my mind on Afghanistan since I never felt confident enough to have a solid opinion.
Likewise with issues like Quantitative Easing. I presume it can be used with positive effect up to a point but then becomes dangerous. The problem is that I have no idea where it transitions from a positive to a negative. And I suspect that even the most knowledgeable economists are uncertain or, at least, of different opinions on the subject. But of course, they're in a far better position than I am to have an educated opinion. I defer to experts I trust on issues like this (as I suspect you do too).
I don't know about your first sentence. Seems unprovable, but whatever.
The rest of the points in your post are all well taken, however.