If Geno Smith has the physical skills and the intangibles you want pull the trigger. If you aren't sure about the intangibles because either he hasn't had to face to much adversity in college, Cam, or not sure if he is a product of the system/talent around him, you still pull the trigger.
If you are wrong then look again, but Geno has crazy deep ball accuracy, his team has no ground game or defense and West Virginia's version of the air raid doesn't do much to help against press defenses, last season Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Pittsburgh did it and slowed the offense down.
Physically he has it and isn't a product of the rest of the team. IMO he should be the first off the board