Thread: Elections 538
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Old 10-25-2012, 09:48 PM   #481
AustinChief AustinChief is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Nate Silver@fivethirtyeight That CO and VA are still toss-ups makes Obama's map more resilient if something goes wrong in OH. Model still bearish on him in FL, however.
I really don't see it that way, I tend to think the "toss ups" are going to break for Romney (as of right now) as they tend to do for the challenger.

Everyone keeps talking about Romney's momentum has stopped or reversed.. yet I don't see it. Last week he led in only one or two national polls now he leads in pretty much all of them (IBD/TIPP being the outlier)

You can talk about the electoral map all you want, but if Romney ACTUALLY ends up with a 2-3 point lead nationally, there is no way he doesn't win electorally as well. That isn't my prediction, I just think that we have yet to see ANYTHING that shows a definitive edge right now for either one.
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