Thread: Elections 538
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Old 10-25-2012, 10:40 PM   #495
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Western Iowa is more conservative, so that was the area where McCain could hold on. Obama actually won a number of so called Republican counties that year. This year he doesn't have a chance.

Here are four counties in northeast Iowa that Bush won in 2004 that Obama won in 2008. I would classify these are at least Republican leaning counties.


Franklin County
Kerry: 2340 Obama: 2575
Bush: 3128 McCain: 2501

Bremer County
Kerry: 6025 Obama: 6940
Bush: 6665 McCain: 5741

Delaware County
Kerry: 4227 Obama: 4649
Bush: 4908 McCain: 4113

Hardin County
Kerry: 4015 Obama: 4393
Bush: 4875 McCain: 4315

Look at Bush margins. Then know that Governor Terry Branstad's margins over Chet Culver in those counties were even greater. Branstand won Bremer (1400+) 960+ franklin 1400+ Hardin +1000.
Any county level polls you can share from this year? All that is ancient history.
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