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Old 10-31-2012, 01:30 PM   #17
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
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Rasmussen is a Republican leaning poll. If you only pay attention to that then you would think Romney will win.

Elections are not won by the popular vote nationally, so its irrelevant. Polls are also contradicting because they have different methods. Raw numbers don't agree with you.

Going back one week in polling:
Obama is ahead in 5 of 7 polls in CO with one tie
Obama is ahead in all polls in NV
Obama is ahead in 10 of 13 polls in OH with 2 ties
Obama is ahead in both polls in IA
Obama is ahead in 4 of 5 polls in NH
Virginia is split 2-2-2
Florida is split 3-3-2

Romney hasn't led a poll since 10/13 in PA.
Romney hasn't led a poll since 8/16 in MI.
Romney hasn't led a poll since 8/19 in WI thought the latest Ramussen calls it a tie.

538, Electoral-vote.com, Linzer, Huffpost pollster, RealClearPolitics, Talking Point Memo and Princeton Elect Consortium who all try to make sense of the conflicting polls all agree that the race has Obama ahead in the important battleground states.
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