Originally Posted by SNR
That data I've been seeing shows that even if Romney doesn't have the upperhand in Ohio, that state is the closest thing he's going to get to winning the election, so he better get his ass over there and start campaigning.
The problem with Ohio is he has a fundamental, structural problem that is local to Ohio: the auto bailouts are very popular, the auto industry is big there, and Romney hasn't been able to get past being down by 2 or 3 for months despite leveling the full fury of his campaign apparatus at the state. For similar reasons, Michigan is also not in play.
If you are Romney and you have concluded that Ohio is gone, for local reasons not relevant outside of big auto states, then your only hope at this point, presuming Nevada is also gone (it is), is Pennsylvania or some other blue-leaner longshot like Minnesota.