Thread: Elections 538
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Old 11-03-2012, 01:29 PM   #870
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
You're the one putting me on a pedestal, not me. The psuedo-intellectuals are the ones puffing their chests out because they believe in math even though they don't really understand the math involved. Maybe you'd prefer the term intellectual boot-lickers or intellectual groupies.
Not true at all. Without knowing one thing about me you assume that I know nothing about the subject. This isn't the first time you have done that. The fact that you didn't even know Rasmussen had state polls leads me to believe you certainly don't know as much as you are leading on.

Your context is also off. I can guarantee that Billy Beane cannot draw up a sabermetric table, but he knows what to do with the information that is given to him. 538 is a tool that allows one to make sense of conflicting polls. When you have one poll say that a candidate lead by 5 and another that says the lead is only 1 or that the other candidate is ahead, who is right? 538 uses the history of those polls to make that call. They also include economic data, makeup of the electorate in individual states, and a myriad of other factors.

I know how to read an electoral map. I have studied the elections of the past and can talk about trends and contested elections in history. So let's stop pretending that only you are right about everything. You've been proven to be wrong many times, though you would never admit it.
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