Thread: Elections 538
View Single Post
Old 11-03-2012, 04:00 PM   #880
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12397942
Quote:
Originally Posted by WoodDraw View Post
Poor Nate Silver is getting hammered in the press. After the election he's either going to be the happiest person on earth or on suicide watch.
The funny thing is his model could even be right despite a Romney win, but he'll get hammered because people generally suck at statistics. We see big numbers with a percent next to it, and mentally categorize that as a guarantee. There's a joke floating around out there touching on this that says something like, "Obama's up to 81% on 538! Romney's only got like a million to 1 shot!"
__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 25,465
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote