Thread: Elections 538
View Single Post
Old 11-03-2012, 08:34 PM   #919
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla View Post
It's not that we don't understand them; it's that we wouldn't likely be able to reproduce them with 100% accuracy. However, it's not like his data points are great mysteries. We know (within an acceptable epsilon) what he's using and we can approximate his outcomes very accurately.
But you haven't done it. I'm not criticizing your intelligence or your ability to understand his model given enough exposure to it and enough time to work on it. I'm saying at this point in time, you don't know it. And most of the people running with Silver's projections as indicators of how the election will turn out have even less of an idea what he's doing than you do.
__________________


"[The democrat party] has become a left wing party, that's anti-American, and thatís racist." - David Horowitz
Posts: 81,893
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote