Originally Posted by DaFace
I'm completely convinced that 90% of people who post in here are nutjobs. Is there something about enjoying political discussion that causes people to completely abandon their ability to discuss things rationally?
I think it's mostly civil. There's a bit of that "WTF is Matt Cassel doing trying to sneak it on the goalline and fumbling" emotion that seeps in from time-to-time, but I think we all more or less know where everyone stands and are respectful of the other side.
If you're dispassionate about all this and just look at the data you have to say that Obama has a slight lead within the margin of error. If you think the weighting in polls like CNN which anticipates a +11 Dem turnout (and would be showing a Romney lead well outside the margin of error if it embraced the voter enthusiasm that shows up in a lot of polls) then you think Romney has a chance.
Again, my prediction is that the winner will take most of the battlegrounds. But I don't have a clue who that is. If I had to guess, I'd probably conclude Obama has a slightly better chance, but if he wins it will be a landslide. Same for Romney.