The latest 538 simulations have Obama winning 94.1% of the time with an average of 314.4 EC. The popular vote is seen as 50.9-48.2 or a 2.7 point lead for Obama.
The closest state contests are:
Florida 52.5% Obama
North Carolina 72.4% Romney
Colorado 80.3% Obama
Virginia 80.3% Obama
New Hampshire 84.9% Obama
Iowa 85.0% Obama
The following battleground states are now considered safe Obama meaning more than a 90% probability:
Obama has 303 EC at least 80%
Obama has 332 EC at least 50%
There will probably be another update after midnight. I think the reason for the move towards Obama is there is no more time for Romney to make up ground. The forecast is equal to the now cast vote.
-Watching Eddie Podolak
Originally posted by Logical
When the boobs are a bouncin, the Chiefs will be trouncin
What the Raiders fan has said is true, our customs are different. What Al Davis has said is unimportant, and we do not hear his words.