Thread: Elections 538
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Old 11-07-2012, 07:40 AM   #1467
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Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
I've never doubted his math. I questioned whether he was making the right assumptions and using the right inputs.

People like Rasmussen and the guys at Gallup use a lot of math too. That's why the people cheering a victory for math here, like dirk for example, look so stupid.
It is the actual manipulation of the numbers by Right leaning polling that entailed assumptions based upon political affiliation that was repudiated. Nate's tweaks were based upon demographics much less fluid like socio economic, changes in population and even race that people self identify with little immediate control. The bulk of information though was from the collection of many many polls with a Baysean statistic approach.
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