Originally Posted by DaFace
Before or after looking at 538?
Yeah, you got me. After.
My house pick was also assisted by one of the other nerdy modelers who gave a range of house possibilities, and I picked on the high end on that.
Though, that wasn't a lot of help for the senate, 538 stubbornly thought that MT was a tossup and that the GOP led ND due to thin polling. The pollsters just presumed those wouldnt be competitive and didnt poll them as often as they should, and I went with my gut on those two.