All these guys are spewing as if the new CBA doesn't exist.
"Taking a guy #1 who's not slotted there is a big risk."
"You can't afford to miss with a QB who ends up being a bust or it sets you back 5 years."
"There just isn't a QB out there like Luck and RG3 that you can say is a lock to be a franchise QB, so you should take the safe pick in the LT or DT or DE."
A contract for Geno Smith or Tyler Wilson at #1 will cost the Chiefs 1/3 of what Matt Cassel's contract has cost us. Now Cassel? THAT's a QB who set us back 5 years. Literally.
The new CBA makes a high risk/high reward pick at a position of value an easy call. Let's say RG3 never plays again (which I don't believe.) Was he worth $21 million to the Redskins already? Ticket sales, merchandise, publicity, etc? Hell yes. And they've got him locked down for 3 more years.
These "gurus" need to wake up and smell the coffee.