I think they will take Smith, that is how Reid started in Philly and it's clearly our biggest position of need.
I don't think Geno Smith is worth a #1 pick in general, but I am in favor of staying there and taking him anyway. He is probably the best QB in this draft and if we move down, we'll get stuck with the third or fourth choice. Jacksonville is likely to take a QB or trade with somebody who will since their GM ruled out Tebow. We might be overpaying in terms of a few draft slots, but at least we will have our guy.