Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city
You say we have to defer to the guys who "do this for a living", automatically making them smarter than us.
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No, I didn't say that they were "automatically" smarter than anyone. They don't make knowledge-sparse statistical arguments about these things though. They spend long hours studying minute details and make educated guesses about how these prospects will develop.
Nor did I say that anyone has to "defer" to them. You're welcome to have an opinion, but you step way across the line of rationality when you start to believe that your opinion is the only possible right opinion.