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No one was watching the baby. Maggie was the last one out the door, so chances are she put her in her Post Office bin, set her on a top bunk, locked the door, shoved the keys in her pocket, and went out to bag her some tower sniper.
Theory Number One: The Gov has set Merle up to infiltrate the prison group. That's why Merle was uncuffed while Daryl was shackled in the arena. That's why the Governor had that stupid grin on his face as they 'rescued' the brothers. That's why the Governor staged that shooting at all, then cut and run when they could have hung around and wiped them all out. The least the Governor is expecting to get from the infiltration is recon of numbers and defenses; the most is an inside assassin that will take out the leadership before they know what hit them.
Theory Number Two: The driver of the Zombie Van was Karen, the dark-haired woman to whom Andrea was talking earlier. When the Governor and Rick meet, the Gov is playing to play mind games with Rick and tell him that that was actually Andrea, who has turned on them and is loyal to Woodbury now.
Theory Number Three: My top five Most Likely Next To Die list, in no particular order: Herschel and his other daughter, Bob and Alan, and Menendez.
Disclaimer: I haven't read any of the comics, and in fact try to avoid discussion of them.
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