Originally Posted by htismaqe
Well, I noticed you mentioned Carr and Leinart and I started looking at it deeper.
You have to have an "anchor point", some verifiable data that you can use as your baseline.
You don't even really have to discount Carr and Leinart at that point because you're not trying to figure out why they busted. You're looking at it as a somewhat linear percentage chance to bust, proportionally related to their score.
Yeah.....the base line is 60% completion and a TD/INT ratio of 2.25.