Thread: Chiefs *****OFFICIAL Draft Geno Smith Thread*****
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Old 02-26-2013, 08:47 PM   #5055
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aturnis View Post
I think what it shows for success is that the most sure thing top prospects are still only a 50/50 chance.
You basically have a 1/4 chance of getting a good QB out of the first round of the draft, based on NFL history.

It's about a 1/10 chance in the 2nd round.
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