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Old 03-07-2013, 03:40 PM   #3710
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiefnj2 View Post
If he put himself in good 3rd down situations why do the 49ers have poor 3rd down conversion %'s.
Well the sacks is a start. He's also not a great high leverage passer because he's not a guy that has 100% of the field available to him (though Dalton wouldn't be either without Green).

I'm just speculating now, but how many 3rd downs did the 49er face respective to the rest of the league? An alternative thought would be that a guy that is a very high efficiency passer is going to do a fair amount of damage on 1st and 2nd downs, making 3rd down less common on a 'good' drive. Whereas on his bad drives, his 3rd downs are going to be fairly shitty situations; perhaps based in large part on the higher sack%.

That I truly don't know. From there you're trying to extrapolate statistics to a predict the future and when you have a guy going to a completely different system (or comparing them to a guy coming from a completely different system), I don't think you're doing much good.

Instead, you just have to look at skill sets. From a raw skill set perspective - I just don't see enough room to slip a business card between these two guys.

They will make your football team exactly what it is - no better, no worse. Is that the ideal situation? No, I don't think it is at all, but it sure looks to me like the good ship Geno has sailed.
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