I would be pretty surprised if Alex Smith threw for 4000 yards. I would also be somewhat surprised if he had over 20 TD. I would be disappointed by 61% completions. That's not good. Not awful, but not good either. I expect at least 14 INT, working on the assumption that they don't leash him from the start.
It's hard to judge by raw stats, and as others have pointed out wins and losses are what really matter, but looking from the vacuum that I find myself in right now I think I'd be disappointed by that kind of production for the price we paid, knowing the kind of system Reid prefers to run.
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