Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
I'm aware that age (17 months difference) and repeating the level definitely make Wong's numbers pop out a little bit more, but it doesn't really make Wong profile that much better as a major league guy.
I don't trust much regarding ZIPS and OLIVER projections for minor league guys. The same projections LOVED Chris Getz just a few seasons ago, as well as Kila Ka'ahuie. I definitely don't think I buy Wong as a .270 hitter in MLB this year.
I wouldn't call Colon's debut season in Wilmington in 2010 a "failure" by any means. That's an incredibly difficult hitting environment, and Colon's numbers profile just fine next to some of the better hitters to move through the KC system (Moustakas, Hosmer, Giavotella, etc.).
He was extremely disappointing in 2011 and looked to bounce back nicely last year despite missing time to injury. Wil Myers also failed at a disastrous level at NWA in 2011. Something in the water?
All in all, he played just a shade over 3 months of baseball last year and put up very solid numbers.
This year will be very telling.
I'm also not saying Wong is garbage or anything. He's a nice player and is likely to be a very solid second-division 2B for a decade or so. If offered a chance to do a straight-up swap of the two, I would do it without blinking.
Just don't think there's enough separation to warrant moving a guy like Calixte, whom the organization is EXTREMELY high on and thinks is ready to blow up this season.
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Key point is that DJ is suggesting Wong to be an option at 2B right now at the major league level, so we're not really comparing prospect value Wong vs. Colon. We're actually comparing what each player would give the major league club today in place of Getz. So, the age/level difference is largely irrelevant. Neither profile to be upper end at the position, so you don't trade a SS with significant upside when you already have a middling/similar prospect at AAA.